GGOALVIO

Chile · Segunda División · 10/4/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: General Velásquez 0-0 Colina, with an exact score probability of 29%.

Prediction record

Final result

General Velásquez 2-3 Colina

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 09:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.3438.6%33.2%-5.4 pts
Draw3.0929.2%33.5%4.4 pts
Away2.8032.2%33.3%1.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

4.4 pts

Projected Score

General Velásquez 0–0 Colina

Exact score probability: 29%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

33.5%

Model confidence

33.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

General VelásquezDDDWL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
ColinaWLDLL

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
General VelásquezColina
26.3Attack33.3
63.2Defence64.7
40.4Form31.4
45.6Power44.4
0.60xG0.67
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