General Caballerovs
Resistencia
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Intermedia · 9/8/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
General Caballero · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
General Caballero 2-1 Resistencia
Original prediction
General Caballero
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.22 | 40.3% | 55.0% | 14.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 26.9% | 24.1% | -2.8 pts |
| Away | 2.73 | 32.8% | 20.9% | -11.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.22 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
General Caballero
Probability
55.0%
Model confidence
55.0%
General Caballero has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60