General Caballerovs
Deportivo Capiata
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Intermedia · 8/28/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
General Caballero · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
General Caballero 2-1 Deportivo Capiata
Original prediction
General Caballero
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.75 | 51.4% | 62.6% | 11.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 27.0% | 21.2% | -5.8 pts |
| Away | 4.16 | 21.6% | 16.2% | -5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.75 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
General Caballero
Probability
62.6%
Model confidence
62.6%
General Caballero has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60