General Caballerovs
3 de Noviembre
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Intermedia · 9/25/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
General Caballero · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 3-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
General Caballero 1-3 3 de Noviembre
Original prediction
General Caballero
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 18:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.65 | 54.1% | 50.4% | -3.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.4% | 26.2% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 4.36 | 20.5% | 23.4% | 2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.3–010%
Predicted outcome
General Caballero
Probability
50.4%
Model confidence
50.4%
General Caballero has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60