Gençlerbirliği S.K.vs
Fenerbahçe
COMPLETEDTurkey · Süper Lig · 8/15/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fenerbahçe · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Gençlerbirliği S.K. are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Fenerbahçe are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Fenerbahçe hold a 38.3-point power-rating edge (43.0 v 81.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.8% in the Süper Lig, while Fenerbahçe holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fenerbahçe
Probability
75.3%
Model confidence
15.8%
Fenerbahçe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40