Gençlerbirliği S.K.vs
Fenerbahçe
SCHEDULEDTurkey · Süper Lig · 8/15/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fenerbahçe · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Genclerbirligi are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Fenerbahçe are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Fenerbahçe hold a 38.3-point power-rating edge (43.0 v 81.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.8% in the Süper Lig, while Fenerbahçe holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fenerbahçe
Probability
75.0%
Model confidence
15.8%
Fenerbahçe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80