Gençlerbirliği S.K.vs
Erzurumspor FK
SCHEDULEDTurkey · Süper Lig · 8/28/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Erzurumspor FK · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Gençlerbirliği S.K. are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Erzurumspor FK are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Erzurumspor FK hold a 7.0-point power-rating edge (43.0 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.5% in the Süper Lig, while Erzurumspor FK holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Erzurumspor FK
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
14.5%
Erzurumspor FK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80