Gemertvs
Achilles Veen
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Derde Divisie · 10/17/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gemert · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gemert 2-0 Achilles Veen
Original prediction
Gemert
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 17 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.78 | 50.6% | 44.1% | -6.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.96 | 22.7% | 26.5% | 3.8 pts |
| Away | 3.36 | 26.7% | 29.4% | 2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.78 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Gemert
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
44.1%
Gemert has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GemertLLWWD
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Achilles VeenWLLLL
GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
GemertAchilles Veen
50.0Attack0.0
50.0Defence66.7
50.0Form0.0
50.0Power23.7
1.71xG1.20