GGOALVIO

Lithuania · Cup · 4/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Geležinis Vilkas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Lowconfidence

Geležinis Vilkas are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 6.67 conceded, while Minija are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 8 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 15.3 against 15.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.5% in the Cup, while Geležinis Vilkas holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Geležinis Vilkas

Probability

43.3%

Model confidence

7.5%

Geležinis Vilkas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Geležinis VilkasLLL

GF 3 · GA 20 · avg 1.00/6.67

BTTS 3/3O2.5 3/3
MinijaWWWWD

GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Geležinis VilkasMinija
33.3Attack0.0
0.0Defence33.3
0.0Form0.0
15.3Power15.3
2.31xG2.06
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