GGOALVIO

Brazil · Capixaba B · 8/29/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Audax São Mateus · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

GEL are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDDL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Audax São Mateus are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Audax São Mateus hold a 17.6-point power-rating edge (33.2 v 50.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.7% in the Capixaba B, while Audax São Mateus holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Audax São Mateus

Probability

36.1%

Model confidence

14.7%

Audax São Mateus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GELDLDDL

GF 1 · GA 10 · avg 0.20/2.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Audax São MateusWDLWL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
GELAudax São Mateus
8.3Attack33.3
58.3Defence66.7
25.0Form46.7
33.2Power50.8
1.08xG1.16
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