Geita Goldvs
Dodoma Jiji
COMPLETEDTanzania · Ligi kuu Bara · 10/16/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Geita Gold 0-0 Dodoma Jiji, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Geita Gold 0-3 Dodoma Jiji
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 16 September 2026 at 18:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.20 | 40.9% | 34.0% | -6.9 pts |
| Draw | 2.91 | 31.0% | 31.2% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.20 | 28.1% | 34.9% | 6.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.2 pts
Projected Score
Geita Gold 0–0 Dodoma Jiji
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.2%
Model confidence
34.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Geita GoldLLLDW
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Dodoma JijiDWWWL
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Geita GoldDodoma Jiji
42.9Attack23.8
42.9Defence76.2
33.3Form52.4
40.1Power53.8
0.82xG0.93