Geita Goldvs
Azam
COMPLETEDTanzania · Ligi kuu Bara · 8/28/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Azam · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Geita Gold 2-2 Azam
Original prediction
Azam
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.55 | 16.2% | 34.8% | 18.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.27 | 27.6% | 27.7% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 1.60 | 56.2% | 37.5% | -18.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.27 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-18.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Azam
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Azam has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Geita GoldWLWLL
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AzamWWDWW
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Geita GoldAzam
77.8Attack55.6
66.7Defence66.7
66.7Form77.8
68.7Power70.7
1.39xG1.09