Gefle IFvs
IF Karlstad
COMPLETEDSweden · Ettan - Norra · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gefle IF · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gefle IF 2-2 IF Karlstad
Original prediction
Gefle IF
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.10 | 29.2% | 42.4% | 13.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 26.4% | 26.2% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.04 | 44.4% | 31.4% | -13.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.43 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Gefle IF
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Gefle IF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60