Gefle IFvs
FBK Karlstad
COMPLETEDSweden · Ettan - Norra · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FBK Karlstad · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gefle IF 1-0 FBK Karlstad
Original prediction
FBK Karlstad
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 18:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.09 | 29.3% | 27.4% | -2.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 26.2% | 23.7% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 2.04 | 44.4% | 49.0% | 4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
FBK Karlstad
Probability
49.0%
Model confidence
49.0%
FBK Karlstad has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00