Gedania Gdanskvs
Victoria Września
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 2 · 10/3/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gedania Gdansk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gedania Gdansk 0-0 Victoria Września
Original prediction
Gedania Gdansk
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.00 | 45.5% | 41.8% | -3.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.67 | 24.8% | 25.3% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.05 | 29.8% | 32.9% | 3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.67 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Gedania Gdansk
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Gedania Gdansk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 16 · avg 1.60/3.20
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60