Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gebenbach · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Gebenbach are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (WLL), averaging 1.33 scored and 4.00 conceded, while Cham are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 4.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Cham hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (73.1 v 75.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.1% in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord, while Gebenbach holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gebenbach
Probability
36.1%
Model confidence
36.1%
Gebenbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 1.33/4.00
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 4.00/1.00