Kakkonen - Lohko CKakkonen - Lohko C
Wednesday, 15 July 2026Last updated 10:02
GBK

GBK

Home
WWW
62
Full time
Kraft

Kraft

Away
LWLW
Kokkolan keskuskentta
GoalVio prediction
60% confidence
GBK(60%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction correct— Result: GBK
Win probability
GBK
60%
Draw
22%
Kraft
17%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
GBK
99
Kraft
98
Defence
GBK
39
Kraft
6
Momentum
GBK
100
Kraft
50
Danger (xG)
GBK
3.60
Kraft
3.38
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 3.68 xG for GBK and 1.54 xG for Kraft — strong and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 3-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. Even with GBK holding the stronger xG profile, the opposition's strong attacking output is sufficient to keep BTTS in play.The attack-versus-defence matchup supports both teams scoring. GBK's Attack Score (99) exceeds Kraft's Defensive Stability (6), and Kraft's attack (98) similarly tests GBK's defence (39). Neither backline is dominant enough to prevent the other side from scoring.

Over 2.5 goals
Yes

The model projects a combined xG of 5.22 — high attacking volume for this fixture. A combined xG above 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is likely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture clears that threshold.The projected 3-1 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal threshold — 4 goals in the most likely outcome. With both sides generating high xG, multiple scoreline combinations in the probability grid exceed 2.5 goals.The attack-versus-defence matchups across both ends of the pitch favour the attackers. GBK's Attack Score (99) vs Kraft's Defensive Stability (6) and Kraft's attack (98) vs GBK's defence (39) both point to a goal-friendly environment — neither defence is strong enough to suppress the other side's attacking output.

xG for (GBK)
3.60
avg per match
xG for (Kraft)
3.38
avg per match
xG against (GBK)
1.50
avg per match
xG against (Kraft)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
GBKGBK
WWW
KraftKraft
LWLW

Probability breakdown

60% confidence
GBK60%
Draw22%
Kraft17%

GBK leads with 60% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

GBK Backed to Win — Model Projects 2-1

GBK host Kraft in Kakkonen - Lohko C. GBK have recorded WWWWWD in recent matches while Kraft arrive with a run of LWLWLL. These sides have met 10 times recently, averaging 4.8 goals per game.

Key factors

: 🎯 xG Advantage The Goalvio xG model projects 3.68 expected goals for GBK against 1.54 for Kraft — a significant advantage that translates into a higher win probability. xG is the model's most reliable predictor of match outcomes.
: 📊 Power Rating Advantage Goalvio's Power Ratings place GBK (1046) above Kraft (1001) — a meaningful gap built from opponent-adjusted results, xG trends, and squad consistency. That gap feeds directly into the model's GBK projection.
: ⚡ Momentum Edge GBK enter this fixture with a significantly stronger Momentum Score (100 vs 50), reflecting more consistent performances and better underlying numbers over recent matches. This is one of the primary reasons the model favours GBK.

Why GoalVio backs this

GBK are generating a dominant xG advantage — 3.68 projected against 1.54 for Kraft. xG measures the quality of chances created, not just shots. A gap of 2.13 is the clearest signal in the model that GBK are the materially more dangerous side in this fixture.

Biggest risk: The head-to-head record shows Kraft have won 2 of the last 10 meetings — a competitive history that suggests GBK's statistical advantage does not always translate into results against this specific opponent.

Risk factors

  • These sides have drawn 2 of their last 10 meetings — history suggests a tight, unpredictable contest.
  • With both teams expected to score, the game could remain open until the final whistle — late goals are a real possibility.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.

Head to head

GBK 1Draws 00 Kraft
Avg goals: 8.0BTTS in 1/1
15 Jul 2026
GBK
W62
Kraft

Recent form

GBK

GBK

W
vs Kraft
15 Jul 2026
62
W
vs JBK
10 Jul 2026
20
W
@ TP-47
4 Jul 2026
43
Kraft

Kraft

L
@ GBK
15 Jul 2026
26
W
vs VPS II
12 Jul 2026
32
L
@ JBK
7 Jul 2026
24
W
vs Jaro 2
4 Jul 2026
80

Frequently asked questions

Who will win GBK vs Kraft?

GoalVio's model predicts GBK to win with 60% confidence.

What is the predicted score for GBK vs Kraft?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in GBK vs Kraft?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in GBK vs Kraft?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more