Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
JBK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-3 (7%), 1-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
GBK 3-0 JBK
Original prediction
JBK
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.51 | 35.9% | 33.0% | -2.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.86 | 23.3% | 18.8% | -4.6 pts |
| Away | 2.20 | 40.8% | 48.2% | 7.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.2–37%
- 3.1–26%
Predicted outcome
JBK
Probability
48.2%
Model confidence
48.2%
JBK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GBKLDWDL
GF 11 · GA 13 · avg 2.20/2.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
JBKDWWWW
GF 14 · GA 2 · avg 2.80/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
GBKJBK
81.7Attack71.7
31.7Defence58.3
55.0Form58.3
54.8Power61.4
2.27xG2.88