Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
GBK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-2
GBK are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Jaro 2 are 3W-0D-0L in their last 3 (WWW), averaging 3.67 scored and 2.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and GBK hold a 14.2-point power-rating edge (56.1 v 41.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.1% in the Kakkonen - Lohko C, while GBK holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 88% BTTS chance and 95% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
GBK
Probability
65.1%
Model confidence
65.1%
GBK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 3.67/2.67