Gazte Berriakvs
Valle Egüés
COMPLETEDSpain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 · 10/25/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gazte Berriak · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (15%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gazte Berriak 0-0 Valle Egüés
Original prediction
Gazte Berriak
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.10 | 42.9% | 38.4% | -4.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.24 | 27.8% | 30.0% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 3.08 | 29.3% | 31.6% | 2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.24 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–015%
- 2.1–115%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Gazte Berriak
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Gazte Berriak has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80