Gaziemirsporvs
Fethiyespor
COMPLETEDTurkey · Türkiye Kupası · 10/7/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gaziemirspor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gaziemirspor 0-2 Fethiyespor
Original prediction
Gaziemirspor
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.99 | 18.3% | 39.0% | 20.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.80 | 24.0% | 25.8% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 1.57 | 57.8% | 35.2% | -22.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
20.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Gaziemirspor
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Gaziemirspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/1.50
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60