GGOALVIO

Turkey · Süper Lig · 8/20/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gaziantep FK · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Gaziantep FK are 0W-2D-2L in their last 4 (LLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.75 conceded, while Sivasspor are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sivasspor hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 49.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.6% in the Süper Lig, while Gaziantep FK holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gaziantep FK

Probability

40.6%

Model confidence

40.6%

Gaziantep FK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gaziantep FKLLDD

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.75

BTTS 3/4O2.5 2/4
SivassporDDWWW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Gaziantep FKSivasspor
33.3Attack41.2
66.7Defence52.6
33.3Form47.4
45.3Power49.1
1.39xG1.06
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