Gaziantep FKvs
Rizespor
COMPLETEDTurkey · Süper Lig · 8/29/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gaziantep FK · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gaziantep FK 1-2 Rizespor
Original prediction
Gaziantep FK
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.88 | 32.6% | 39.2% | 6.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 26.7% | 28.1% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.30 | 40.7% | 32.7% | -8.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Gaziantep FK
Probability
39.2%
Model confidence
39.2%
Gaziantep FK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00