Gaziantep FKvs
Fenerbahçe
COMPLETEDTurkey · Süper Lig · 9/14/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fenerbahçe · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gaziantep FK 0-0 Fenerbahçe
Original prediction
Fenerbahçe
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.70 | 16.4% | 35.6% | 19.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.15 | 22.5% | 24.7% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 1.53 | 61.1% | 39.7% | -21.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.15 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-21.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Fenerbahçe
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
Fenerbahçe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20