Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Canon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gazelle 0-0 Canon
Original prediction
Canon
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 October 2026 at 21:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.29 | 39.4% | 35.9% | -3.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.97 | 30.4% | 27.9% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 2.98 | 30.2% | 36.3% | 6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.97 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Canon
Probability
36.3%
Model confidence
36.3%
Canon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GazelleNo completed matches
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
CanonW
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/1.00
BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
GazelleCanon
50.0Attack66.7
50.0Defence66.7
50.0Form100.0
50.0Power80.3
1.65xG1.82