Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gazalkent · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gazalkent 0-0 Yaypan
Original prediction
Gazalkent
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.70 | 53.0% | 67.3% | 14.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.67 | 24.6% | 18.5% | -6.1 pts |
| Away | 4.03 | 22.4% | 14.3% | -8.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.67 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Gazalkent
Probability
67.3%
Model confidence
67.3%
Gazalkent has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GazalkentDLWLW
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
YaypanLLWWD
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
GazalkentYaypan
59.3Attack38.9
59.3Defence40.7
51.9Form38.9
56.1Power41.7
2.34xG0.83