Gazalkentvs
Pakhtakor II
COMPLETEDUzbekistan · Pro League A · 10/8/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gazalkent · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Gazalkent 3-0 Pakhtakor II, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Gazalkent 3-2 Pakhtakor II
Original prediction
Gazalkent
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 18:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.19 | 75.5% | 85.4% | 9.9 pts |
| Draw | 5.57 | 16.1% | 10.4% | -5.8 pts |
| Away | 10.76 | 8.3% | 4.3% | -4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.9 pts
Projected Score
Gazalkent 3–0 Pakhtakor II
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Gazalkent
Probability
85.4%
Model confidence
85.4%
Gazalkent has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GazalkentWWDDL
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Pakhtakor IILLLWL
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
GazalkentPakhtakor II
60.0Attack21.7
61.7Defence23.3
53.3Form16.7
57.5Power24.0
3.25xG0.49