Gatesheadvs
Solihull Moors
COMPLETEDEngland · National League · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gateshead · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gateshead 1-1 Solihull Moors
Original prediction
Gateshead
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.43 | 37.6% | 44.9% | 7.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 26.4% | 25.6% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.54 | 36.0% | 29.4% | -6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.46 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Gateshead
Probability
44.9%
Model confidence
44.9%
Gateshead has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 5 · GA 16 · avg 1.00/3.20