Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 25 July 2026Last updated 10:01
Gateshead

Gateshead

Home
D
11
Full time
Newcastle

Newcastle

Away
L
Gateshead International Stadium
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Newcastle33%
Gateshead33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Gateshead
33%
Draw
33%
Newcastle
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Gateshead
94
Newcastle
9
Defence
Gateshead
6
Newcastle
27
Momentum
Gateshead
33
Newcastle
0
Danger (xG)
Gateshead
2.70
Newcastle
0.31
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Gateshead)
2.70
avg per match
xG for (Newcastle)
0.31
avg per match
xG against (Gateshead)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Newcastle)
1.81
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
GatesheadGateshead
D
NewcastleNewcastle
LW

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Gateshead33%
Draw33%
Newcastle33%

Newcastle leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Gateshead head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture at Gateshead International Stadium in mixed form (D), while Newcastle arrive in mixed form (L). Gateshead have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Newcastle over 1 games.

The model rates Gateshead's attack at 94/100 against a 27/100 Newcastle defence, and Newcastle's attack at 9/100 against a 6/100 Gateshead backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Gateshead have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Newcastle have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

Newcastle have generated 0.31 xG per game recently while conceding 1.81 xG per match, underperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

There is no head-to-head data between Gateshead and Newcastle in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 33% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. Win probabilities: Gateshead 3333%, Draw 3333%, Newcastle 3334%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Gateshead

Gateshead

D
@ Hebburn Town
14 Jul 2026
33
Newcastle

Newcastle

L
@ Fulham
24 May 2026
02
xG 0.3
W
vs West Ham
17 May 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Gateshead vs Newcastle?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Gateshead vs Newcastle?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Gateshead vs Newcastle?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Gateshead vs Newcastle?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more