GGOALVIO

England · National League · 8/5/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gateshead · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Gateshead are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Boreham Wood are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Gateshead hold a 12.6-point power-rating edge (56.4 v 43.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.9% in the National League, while Gateshead holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gateshead

Probability

60.9%

Model confidence

60.9%

Gateshead has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GatesheadWWLLW

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Boreham WoodWWLDD

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
GatesheadBoreham Wood
63.8Attack42.8
53.6Defence47.1
54.3Form37.7
56.4Power43.8
2.28xG1.06
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