Gasogi Unitedvs
Gorilla
COMPLETEDRwanda · National Soccer League · 10/21/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Gasogi United 0-0 Gorilla, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Gasogi United 0-0 Gorilla
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.03 | 44.3% | 34.9% | -9.4 pts |
| Draw | 2.92 | 30.8% | 31.8% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.61 | 24.9% | 33.3% | 8.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.92 · Draw 1.92 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.0 pts
Projected Score
Gasogi United 0–0 Gorilla
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.8%
Model confidence
34.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Gasogi UnitedL
GF 0 · GA 2 · avg 0.00/2.00
BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
GorillaL
GF 0 · GA 1 · avg 0.00/1.00
BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Gasogi UnitedGorilla
0.0Attack50.0
33.3Defence50.0
0.0Form50.0
15.3Power50.0
0.78xG0.92