Gasogi Unitedvs
Bugesera
COMPLETEDRwanda · National Soccer League · 10/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Gasogi United 0-0 Bugesera, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Gasogi United 0-2 Bugesera
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.35 | 37.5% | 34.6% | -2.9 pts |
| Draw | 2.79 | 31.6% | 31.8% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.85 | 30.9% | 33.6% | 2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.3 pts
Projected Score
Gasogi United 0–0 Bugesera
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.8%
Model confidence
34.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Gasogi UnitedDWLLL
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
BugeseraWLWLD
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
22.2Attack33.3
66.7Defence83.3
44.4Form50.0
47.5Power56.2
0.84xG0.86