Garliavavs
Kauno Žalgiris II
COMPLETEDLithuania · 1 Lyga · 5/15/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Garliava · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Garliava are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Kauno Žalgiris II are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Garliava hold a 15.7-point power-rating edge (48.5 v 32.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.1% in the 1 Lyga, while Garliava holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Garliava
Probability
59.1%
Model confidence
59.1%
Garliava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 0 · GA 9 · avg 0.00/1.80