Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Garliava · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Garliava are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Jonava are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Garliava hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (48.5 v 46.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.1% in the 1 Lyga, while Garliava holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Garliava
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
16.1%
Garliava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20
GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40