Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Garliava · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Garliava are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LWL), averaging 1.67 scored and 2.67 conceded, while Šilas are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (WLL), averaging 1.33 scored and 2.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 6 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Garliava hold a 3.9-point power-rating edge (48.5 v 44.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.3% in the 1 Lyga, while Garliava holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Garliava
Probability
54.3%
Model confidence
54.3%
Garliava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.67/2.67
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 1.33/2.33