Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dainava · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Garliava 0-0 Dainava, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Garliava 2-1 Dainava
Original prediction
Dainava
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.32 | 26.9% | 25.5% | -1.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.56 | 25.1% | 28.2% | 3.1 pts |
| Away | 1.86 | 48.0% | 46.2% | -1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.8 pts
Projected Score
Garliava 0–0 Dainava
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Dainava
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
46.2%
Dainava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GarliavaLLLLL
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
DainavaWLDLL
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
GarliavaDainava
37.5Attack47.2
58.3Defence68.1
30.6Form55.6
43.1Power57.6
0.74xG1.14