Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Garliava · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Garliava are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Be1 NFA are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Be1 NFA hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (57.3 v 61.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.6% in the Cup, while Garliava holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Garliava
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Garliava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 8 · avg 3.00/1.60
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60