Garliavavs
Žalgiris II
COMPLETEDLithuania · 1 Lyga · 10/23/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Žalgiris II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Garliava 0-2 Žalgiris II
Original prediction
Žalgiris II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 06:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.50 | 35.7% | 34.4% | -1.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.3% | 26.2% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.35 | 38.0% | 39.4% | 1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Žalgiris II
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Žalgiris II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00