GGOALVIO

Georgia · Erovnuli Liga 2 · 3/11/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gareji · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Gareji are 1W-2D-1L in their last 4 (WDDL), averaging 0.75 scored and 1.25 conceded, while Dinamo Tbilisi II are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Gareji hold a 16.4-point power-rating edge (63.9 v 47.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.8% in the Erovnuli Liga 2, while Gareji holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gareji

Probability

69.8%

Model confidence

69.8%

Gareji has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GarejiWDDL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.75/1.25

BTTS 1/4O2.5 2/4
Dinamo Tbilisi IIWW

GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
GarejiDinamo Tbilisi II
71.3Attack47.2
59.3Defence42.6
62.0Form47.2
63.9Power47.5
2.75xG1.01
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