GGOALVIO

Georgia · Erovnuli Liga 2 · 3/11/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gareji · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

Gareji are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Aragvi Dusheti are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Gareji hold a 14.6-point power-rating edge (63.9 v 49.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.2% in the Erovnuli Liga 2, while Gareji holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gareji

Probability

63.5%

Model confidence

10.2%

Gareji has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GarejiDLWLL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Aragvi DushetiWWLWW

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
GarejiAragvi Dusheti
71.3Attack46.5
59.3Defence53.5
62.0Form43.9
63.9Power49.4
2.23xG0.99
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