Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Varketili · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-3
Gardabani are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (DLW), averaging 1.33 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Varketili are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Varketili hold a 53.9-point power-rating edge (28.2 v 82.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 91.5% in the Liga 3, while Varketili holds the strongest overall chance at 91% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Varketili
Probability
91.5%
Model confidence
91.5%
Varketili has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 1.33/1.33
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/2.00