GardabanivsLokomotivi Tbilisi

Gardabani are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Lokomotivi Tbilisi are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Lokomotivi Tbilisi hold a 16.8-point power-rating edge (28.2 v 45.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.4% in the Liga 3, while Lokomotivi Tbilisi holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.