GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 10/3/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Türkspor Augsburg · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Garching are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Türkspor Augsburg are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Türkspor Augsburg hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (28.0 v 37.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.8% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Türkspor Augsburg holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Türkspor Augsburg

Probability

37.8%

Model confidence

37.8%

Türkspor Augsburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GarchingLWDLL

GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Türkspor AugsburgDDLLL

GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
GarchingTürkspor Augsburg
36.3Attack28.4
15.7Defence49.0
21.6Form28.4
28.0Power37.2
1.18xG1.36
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