Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sonthofen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Garching are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Sonthofen are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sonthofen hold a 21.8-point power-rating edge (28.0 v 49.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.4% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Sonthofen holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sonthofen
Probability
65.4%
Model confidence
65.4%
Sonthofen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 13 · avg 0.40/2.60
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20