GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 11/5/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Schwaben Augsburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-3

Highconfidence

Garching are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Schwaben Augsburg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Schwaben Augsburg hold a 38.9-point power-rating edge (28.0 v 66.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 86.8% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Schwaben Augsburg holds the strongest overall chance at 87% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Schwaben Augsburg

Probability

86.8%

Model confidence

86.8%

Schwaben Augsburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GarchingWLDLW

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Schwaben AugsburgWWLWD

GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
GarchingSchwaben Augsburg
36.3Attack74.5
15.7Defence65.7
21.6Form65.7
28.0Power66.9
0.72xG3.90
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