GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 7/30/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rain / Lech · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Garching are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Rain / Lech are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Rain / Lech hold an 18.1-point power-rating edge (28.0 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.1% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Rain / Lech holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rain / Lech

Probability

54.1%

Model confidence

54.1%

Rain / Lech has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GarchingWLDLL

GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Rain / LechWLDLW

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
GarchingRain / Lech
36.3Attack42.2
15.7Defence47.1
21.6Form43.1
28.0Power46.1
1.19xG2.08
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