GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 5/5/2024, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nordlingen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Highconfidence

Garching are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Nordlingen are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Nordlingen hold a 29.5-point power-rating edge (28.0 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.5% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Nordlingen holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nordlingen

Probability

75.5%

Model confidence

75.5%

Nordlingen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GarchingWLLLW

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
NordlingenDWDWD

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
GarchingNordlingen
36.3Attack64.7
15.7Defence51.0
21.6Form56.9
28.0Power57.5
1.06xG3.30
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