Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kottern · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Garching are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Kottern are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Kottern hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (28.0 v 30.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.3% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Kottern holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kottern
Probability
46.3%
Model confidence
46.3%
Kottern has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 14 · avg 0.20/2.80
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00