Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ismaning · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Garching are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Ismaning are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Ismaning hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (28.0 v 37.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.6% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Ismaning holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ismaning
Probability
52.6%
Model confidence
52.6%
Ismaning has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40