Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Erlbach · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Garching are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Erlbach are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Erlbach hold a 30.6-point power-rating edge (28.0 v 58.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.2% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Erlbach holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Erlbach
Probability
69.2%
Model confidence
69.2%
Erlbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60